←  ⇰ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts online ↓ Kindle Ebook By Annie Duke ✼ ← ⇰ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts online ↓ Kindle Ebook By Annie Duke ✼ Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots one yard line, he called for a pass instead of a handing off to his star running back The pass was intercepted, and the Seahawks lost Critics called it the dumbest play in history But was the call really that bad Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck Even the best decision doesn t yield the best outcome every time There s always an element of luck that you can t control, and there is always information that is hidden from view So the key to long term success and avoiding worrying yourself to death is to think in bets How sure am I What are the possible ways things could turn out What decision has the highest odds of success Did I land in the unlucky 10 percent on the strategy that works 90 percent of the time Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and of course poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions For most people, it s difficult to say I m not sure in a world that values and even rewards the appearance of certainty But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don t always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don t always lead to bad outcomes By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don t, you ll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making You ll become confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run Includes a bonus PDF of charts and graphs PLEASE NOTE When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio Thinking in Bets Making Smarter Decisions When You These promotions will be applied to this item Some may combined others are not eligible with other offers For details, please see the Terms Conditions associated these Auto Suggestions available once you type at least letters Use up arrow for mozilla firefox browser alt and down review enter select The Arena Accountable Predictions Long Bets The purpose of is improve long term thinking a public arena enjoyably competitive predictions, interest Long Now Foundation Wikipedia Foundation, established , an American public, non profit organization based San 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